In a significant political shift, Wisconsin's Supreme Court race and two Florida special elections on April 2, 2025, revealed changing voter dynamics in key battleground regions [1][2].

In Wisconsin, liberal candidate Judge Susan Crawford secured a decisive victory over conservative Brad Schimel, winning by 9 percentage points in a state Trump had won by just 0.8 points in November [1]. The race saw unprecedented financial involvement, with Elon Musk's groups contributing $21 million to support Schimel [3].

Key electoral data shows substantial geographic shifts:

Sauk County, a traditional bellwether, shifted 14 points toward Crawford compared to November resultsCrawford won both Kenosha and Racine counties, which Trump had carried in the presidential electionDemocratic turnout was notably strong in suburban Milwaukee counties [1][4]

In Florida, Republicans maintained control but with diminished margins in two special House elections:

Randy Fine won the 6th District but by 14 points less than the previous margin of 33 pointsJimmy Patronis secured the northwest Florida seat formerly held by Matt Gaetz, though with a reduced margin [1]

These results adjust the House of Representatives balance to 220-213 in favor of Republicans, leading Trump to withdraw Rep. Elise Stefanik's UN ambassador nomination due to slim majority concerns [4].